Calibrated Tail v2
FIX of commodity-live-v1: only sell tails in buckets whose REALIZED settle rate ≥93% over ≥50 markets while quoting ≤95c. Also the experiment that answers whether tail-selling can ever work. Retire if it rarely fires or loses over 50 trades.
REALIZED PAPER P&L
$-60.46
$-0.06 avg/trade · 1005 closed bets
Win rate
91.0%
1005 closed bets
Sharpe (per-trade)
-0.04
n ≥ 5 required
Max drawdown
−$72.08
worst peak-to-trough
Realized P&L
$-60.46
all-time · paper
Sample n
1005
closed trades
Days live
126
OOS passed
⚡
Backtest & dial it in
replayed over captured historyDrag a knob — the backtest redraws live. Found a winner? Fork it and it's yours.
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Cumulative P&L
Paper trading · all simulated
Cumulative P&L (paper)
Drawdown band
peak: — · trough: —
| Time (UTC) | Market | Plat | Side | Entry | Exit | P&L | Outcome |
|---|
Strategy rules
Entry · Exit · Sizing · Market filter
Locked
RULESEntry / exit / sizing / filter logic — full strategy config.
PREVIEWBuy YES on crypto/other/sports/commodities/economics/stocks markets when YES ask ≤ 95¢ and ≥ 85¢ with 24h vol ≥ $15,0...
CATEGORYother · house strategy
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